The Matchday 2 clash of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League group stage between Bayer (Germany) and PSV (Netherlands) will take place on October 1 at the BayArena in Leverkusen. Bayer vs. PSV: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayer
Kasper Hjulmand's side was on the brink of defeat in their first-round away match against Copenhagen, but managed to equalize in stoppage time (2-2). However, this match marked Bayer's fourth in the last five Champions League games without a win (1 draw, 3 losses). Additionally, the club has conceded at least two goals in three consecutive matches in this European competition. In the overall group stage standings, Bayer is in 17th place. Notably, Bayer has not lost to Dutch clubs in seven consecutive European matches (4 wins, 3 draws).
- The team has not lost in 6 of their last 8 home matches in the Champions League (5 wins, 1 draw).
- At least one opponent failed to score in Bayer's last nine home matches in this European competition.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Bayer's last 9 home games in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Bayer (3-4-3)
Mark Flekken – Loic Bade, Jarell Quansah, Edmond Tapsoba – Alex Grimaldo, Robert Andrich, Aleix Garcia, Lucas Vazquez – Malik Tillman, Kristian Koffi, Ernest Poku.
Midfielder Exequiel Palacios and forward Patrik Schick will not play due to injuries.
PSV
In the first round, Peter Bosz's side lost at home to Champions League debutants Union (1-3). As a result, PSV failed to win for the fourth time in their last five matches (1 draw, 3 losses). Furthermore, the team extended their streak of conceding goals in this European competition to nine matches. On the other hand, the Dutch have not left the pitch without scoring in seven consecutive Champions League games. The club is in 29th place in the overall group stage standings. It's worth noting that in their last 20 away European matches against German clubs, PSV has only one victory (4 draws, 15 losses).
- The team has not won in 6 of their last 7 away matches in the Champions League (2 draws, 4 losses).
- The club has conceded at least two goals in 6 of their last 8 away games in this European competition.
- Both opponents scored in 7 of PSV's last 9 away matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for PSV (4-3-3)
Matej Kovar – Sergiño Dest, Ryan Flamingo, Armando Obispo, Jarek Gasirowski – Jerdy Schouten, Joey Veerman, Ismael Saibari – Esmir Bajraktarevic, Ivan Perisic, Ricardo Pepi.
Defender Kilian Sildillia, as well as forwards Myron Boadu and Ruben van Bommel, are injured.
Referee
Glenn Nyberg (Sweden)
Matches – 15 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 57;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 20%.
Bayer vs. PSV: Match Prediction
Leverkusen has not been impressive at the start of this season, but I believe the team can show their best game at home. I particularly expect strong defensive performances from Bayer, as they have previously been solid in this aspect in the Champions League. In their last six home matches in this European competition, the Germans have kept five clean sheets, conceding only to Bayern Munich. During this period, they have also denied goals to opponents like Inter and Milan.
PSV, even at home against a Champions League newcomer, couldn't score more than one goal, and they often struggle to break down opponents' defenses on the road. In their last seven away games in this European competition, the Dutch have scored at least twice only twice, and they failed to score in two matches. Moreover, PSV has only scored once in their last three away matches against German clubs in the Champions League.
I believe Bayer will not allow their opponent to score more than one goal. My prediction: PSV Individual Total Under 1.5